Update below.
I just finished reading a couple of novels dealing with global warming (GW). One,
State of Fear by Michael Crichton, is a fast paced contrarian look at GW, with some curiously entertaining protagonists who wield Excel charts and corresponding scientific references as deftly as they do handguns and other assorted weaponry. Take that, you woefully ignorant pro-environmental headline regurgitator! The other,
Forty Signs of Rain by Kim Stanley Robinson, contains much of the same jargon and acronyms as Crichton's book, but reaches completely opposite conclusions, i.e. GW is man made, and abrupt climate change is imminent and will be catastrophic.
I recommend both books. The Crichton is a page-turner, though a bit unpleasantly didactic at times. Robinson's has some wonderful musings on how science (and scientists) really works, but being the first of a trilogy, has some irritating padding, notably several mundane, too-detailed scenes depicting a father's day to day dealings with his infant son. Yawn.
Note that the idea of the "
precautionary principle" (put very simply: take action, even if all facts aren't known, if you want to thwart a great societal risk) is key to both books. Crichton pooh-poohs it as "self-contradictory". Robinson's protagonists take it as a given. My feeling? Get more data, dammit. After all, the precautionary principle was the key Bush justification for starting the war in Iraq. Was a great societal risk averted, or was the apple cart upended?
Update 9/24/05
There's some
lively discussion over at Jerry Pournelle's site on this topic, including links to Crichton naysayers. Good stuff.
Also, here's a relevant, current
CNN story.